Asia

Navigating the rough waters of Pakistan’s debt issue
Asia

Navigating the rough waters of Pakistan’s debt issue

In the intricate fabric of Pakistan’s economic landscape, a daunting debt crisis casts a long shadow, threatening the nation’s quest for stability and prosperity. Recent revelations from key economic institutions, notably the State Bank of Pakistan, lay bare a disconcerting reality: Pakistan’s external debt has surged to a staggering $125.7 billion, placing immense strain on its fiscal health. Central to Pakistan’s economic challenges lies its complex relationship with China and the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). Launched in 2013, CPEC stands as a monumental endeavor aimed at fortifying infrastructure and fostering economic growth. With over $60 billion invested primarily by China, it emerges as one of Pakistan’s largest infrastructure projects. However, the financing stru...
The IMF Examines the US Economy Rather Than Targeting China
Asia

The IMF Examines the US Economy Rather Than Targeting China

As the US delegation looked to the annual springtime gathering of finance chiefs in Washington this week, they hoped to use the confab to put pressure on China to steer clear of dumping exports on world markets. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and colleagues were also ready to claim credit for the US having come to the world economy’s aid with growth policies that have lifted the whole global outlook. Things didn’t go quite as Washington hoped. Indeed, US officials found themselves at the bottom of a gang tackle. A dramatic shift in rhetoric from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday effectively rewrote the script for the International Monetary Fund-World Bank spring meetings. As IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva put it Thursday, “All eyes are on the...
Pakistan may require up to three years to implement the IMF’s recommended reforms: Finance chief
Asia

Pakistan may require up to three years to implement the IMF’s recommended reforms: Finance chief

Pakistan needs two to three years to implement some of the structural changes the International Monetary Fund has prescribed to break the South Asian country’s chain of financial struggles and bailouts, according to its new finance minister. The country has long known what is needed in order to steady its economy, and the challenge has been follow-through and implementation, Muhammad Aurangzeb said at the Atlantic Council on Monday. Aurangzeb is visiting the US to attend the IMF and World Bank spring meetings this week, his first trip to Washington since taking office last month. “Once we get into the execution, we will need a two- to three-year time period so we can actually go through the structural reforms,” said Aurangzeb, who previously worked at JPMorgan Chase & Co. “If we...
Debt restructuring in Sri Lanka falters when the government rejects bondholders’ proposal
Asia

Debt restructuring in Sri Lanka falters when the government rejects bondholders’ proposal

Sri Lanka on Tuesday rejected international bondholders' proposal to restructure more than $12 billion in debt, putting at risk critical International Monetary Fund support and delaying its efforts to resolve a two-year-long debt crisis. Some of the proposal's "baseline" assessments and a lack of a contingency option in the case of continued economic weakness were the two main reasons the deal was not agreed, the government said in a statement. Colombo said it hoped to hold further talks "as soon as feasible" but the immediate risk was that without a compromise in the coming weeks, the next tranche of all-important IMF support money could potentially get delayed. Sri Lanka has already struck a deal with its main government creditors, but an "agreement in principle" with bondholde...
<a></a>Economic Uncertainties Continue to Plague Pakistan and GDP Growth Projected to be Less than 2 Percent
Asia

Economic Uncertainties Continue to Plague Pakistan and GDP Growth Projected to be Less than 2 Percent

Political uncertainty remains constant in Pakistan, despite a change of government after the general elections. Amid an uncertain economic outlook with high downside risks, the private sector’s participation in economic growth remains unnoticeable as it is not borrowing from banks for business expansion. The State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) latest data showed that the private sector borrowing dropped 36.95pc to just Rs 191.5 billion in the first nine months of FY24. The real estate sector, one of the major contributors to economic growth, has crashed and the construction industry is operating at 20pc of its capacity. The high cost of doing business restricts the private sector from borrowing expensive money. In fact there is likely to be more economic uncertainty if the law and order situat...
<strong>Manufacturers diversifying supply chains away from China as India gains market share in electronics exports</strong>
Asia

Manufacturers diversifying supply chains away from China as India gains market share in electronics exports

A recent study reveals that India is eroding China's dominance in electronics exports in some key markets as manufacturers diversify their supply chains away from the world's factory to other parts of Asia. The impact is majorly noticeable in the US and UK, which witnessed rising geopolitical tensions with China in recent years. According to London-based Fathom Financial Consulting, India's electronics exports to the US as a ratio of China's rose from 2.51 percent in November 2021 to 7.65 percent in November 2023, while it increased from 4.79 percent to 10 percent in the UK. With generous incentives including tax breaks, rebates, simplified land acquisition procedures, and financial support, the Indian government is trying to attract electronics manufacturers to the country....
To lower its debt burden, Pakistan is scheduled to return $1 billion against Eurobonds.
Asia

To lower its debt burden, Pakistan is scheduled to return $1 billion against Eurobonds.

Pakistan is set to repay a foreign debt worth $ 1 billion against a 10-year Eurobond maturing in the middle of this month which will reduce the stock of the debt acquired through the selling of bonds in international markets to below $ 7 billion. The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) told The Express Tribune that it was ready to repay the bond anytime and was waiting to receive instructions to do so from the finance ministry. The move will reduce the stock of the debt acquired through selling Eurobonds and Sukuks (bond-like instruments used in Islamic finance) in international markets to below $ 7 billion. This has enhanced the country's capacity to repay all the upcoming maturing foreign debt on time. Following the repayment of $ 1 billion in April, Pakistan's foreign exchange res...
Reforms in the financial sector and fiscal policy would enable Bangladesh to maintain rapid growth.
Asia

Reforms in the financial sector and fiscal policy would enable Bangladesh to maintain rapid growth.

Bangladesh's economy made a strong turnaround from the COVID-19 pandemic, but the post-pandemic recovery continues to be disrupted by high inflation, a persistent balance of payments deficit, financial sector vulnerabilities, and global economic uncertainty, says the World Bank in its twice-yearly-update. Released today, the latest Bangladesh Development Update says that urgent monetary reform and a single exchange rate regime will be critical to improve foreign exchange reserves and ease inflation. Greater exchange rate flexibility would help restore balance between demand and supply in the foreign exchange market. Structural reforms will be key to diversify the economy and build resilience over the medium and long term, including measures to raise government revenues to support inves...
Asia, World

Why the US Economy Is Booming While China’s Is Collapsing

“Every so often, a grand thesis captures the world’s imagination,” began an article in the The New Yorker in 2008. “The latest … is that America’s time of global dominance is finished, and that new powers, such as China, India, and Russia, are poised to take over.” There has been no shortage of optimism about China since, like a 2011 Foreign Affairs headlined the “The Inevitable Superpower” and a 2018 piece from The Economist that “The Chinese century is well under way.” What a difference the past few years have made. Conventional wisdom that China’s economy would eclipse the U.S. in a decade—maybe even sooner—is looking uncertain. The view that China was the emerging geopolitical power, with developing nations tucked under its wings, is looking similarly shaky. It is now unclear wheth...
In Asia, Where Digital Banks Can Make An Impact
Asia, World

In Asia, Where Digital Banks Can Make An Impact

Digital banks have sprung up across Asia in recent years. In many cases, they are having little impact on the overall banking market. Affluent societies like Singapore, Hong Kong, Japan and Taiwan are not lacking banking options. Even middle-income countries like Malaysia and Thailand have limited financial inclusion needs. Yet in certain countries that are less affluent, and where the financial system is still underdeveloped, digital banks can play an important role in boosting financial inclusion. This is the case in several Southeast Asian and South Asian countries. The Biggest Southeast Asian MarketIn a population of more than 275 million, Indonesia is estimated to have well over 100 million people who are unbanked or underbanked. Further, the unique island geography of the coun...